Reset + WeWork

   

It is 2020 and after an 18-month hiatus, I am resetting and will make an effort to post more frequently (er, maybe).  A lot has happened — even in the past 12 months:  SoftBank’s Vision Fund looked unstoppable with its $100B Megafund.  It upped the game in Later-Stage investing into such high-fliers as WeWork, Uber, Compass, et al.  Then WeWork happened (or its IPO didn’t happen).  With its IPO missteps, WeWork has become the Scape goat or cautionary tale of “Growth-at-all-costs”; weak unit economics; moral hazard in company culture excess; and lack of corporate governance.  WeWork’s impact has been felt in Belt-tightening (I.e. hundreds of layoffs and other cost cutting — no WeWork beer or luxury balloons at Uber) across Pizza robot companies (Zume); Uber and so many others.  The canary in the coal mine is if the most well-capitalized and late-stage ventures cannot easily access capital (to stay private); go Public (due to perceived business model flaws, weak unit economics, etc.); or get acquired (with their outsize valuations), how much does this dampen the rest of the Tech Ecosystem at earlier stages?    M&A may be affected and the path to liquidity is more daunting.   However, I leave you with a glimmer of hope:   It may not be all Doom and Gloom as alternative sources of capital (E.g. Crowdfunding, family offices/ UHNW non-institutional investors, et al.) are growing rapidly.  Let’s see how things shake out in the coming 24-months.

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